Friday, August 1, 2025

Charts for Aug 1, 2025

Daily charts (you can click the charts for larger image):

SPX:


* 246 stocks in bullish mode. Another big downtick and falling below 50%. * BullsPower at 42, BearsPower at 20. It's too early to tell if there will be a bearish takeover. The last bearish takeover was in late February and we know what happened. * We have a test of the dW at 6319. Closed above, but not by much.




* ELC goes down. * THRUST goes down with bearish divergence. Ongoing red flag. * The Repellor is at 6215. Watch that level if the downturn gets worse. It can go quick after a rally like this and with so many indicators looking weak. * BUD2 may soon give its bearish crossover. The last time all 3 indicators pointed down was in late February at the start of the bear market.




* Rotator goes back down. Both components are weakening. * The Bands keep rising steadily, but trading is now falling out of the upper band. There is another 300 points of downside within the Bands, so stay safe.



* SwX turns red- bearish.  Adds another red flag. * MoM  goes down, with bearish divergence. * The green trend channels remain important. * The red line with possible wedge is given up and can be forgotten now. The support just above 6200 is becoming the next focus from a trendlines pov.



* Icebergs algo. * Lava and gold on the mountain have stopped. The vultures are gone. * Green mountain is still above the +4 threshold, but only barely so. * Worsening situation and the bottom of the Envelope (currently near 6100) has to be watched for a possible visit, because the most recent upswing failed to reached the top of the Envelope (and not by a little bit).

RevL for Aug 1, 2025

Today's reversal levels for major indexes and stocks in our public demo portfolio.
Join in for exiting profits with our special trading strategies.

Daily reversal levels as of the close on July 31, 2025
NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
S&P 500^SPX6339.38
10
6250.256.16 ▼
66
14.65%
Nasdaq 100^NDX23218.12
10
22787.275.61 ▼
66
19.48%
Russell 2000^RUT2211.65
7
2245.231.03 ▼
0
0.00%
Sell
Gold (spot)$XAUUSD3289.99
92
3362.89-1.71 ▼
3
0.75%
US Oil ETFUSO79.59
6
75.894.05 ▲
18
4.48%
20+ Y Tr. Bond ETFTLT86.92
15
85.882.21 ▲
2
0.17%
BitcoinBTC_X115765.36
44
115289.080.30 ▼
36
7.79%

NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
American Airlines GroupAAL11.49
20
12.10-3.34 ▼
5
0.52%
Apple IncAAPL207.57
3
212.340.61 ▼
1
0.44%
C3.ai IncAI23.56
8
26.85-4.05 ▼
5
10.79%
Align TechnologyALGN129.01
3
199.77-2.01 ▼
0
0.00%
Sell
Amazon.com IncAMZN234.11
7
224.465.12 ▲
57
21.07%
AramarkARMK42.56
11
42.281.13 ▼
61
26.82%
AeroVironment IncAVAV267.64
11
252.862.31 ▼
77
97.37%
Bank of AmericaBAC47.27
10
47.012.87 ▼
9
-0.57%
Coeur MiningCDE8.69
11
9.27-1.25 ▼
1
1.59%
CIENA CorpCIEN92.84
11
84.608.53 ▲
26
16.41%
pP
Core & Main IncCNM63.64
13
62.306.20 ▼
68
25.10%
Coinbase GlobalCOIN377.76
10
365.83-0.45 ▼
69
91.03%
Devon EnergyDVN33.22
59
32.881.85 ▲
3
-2.81%
First Solar IncFSLR174.73
3
172.393.09 ▼
22
5.88%
GE AerospaceGE271.08
13
260.765.54 ▼
68
39.49%
Chart Industries IncGTLS198.83
3
168.429.03 ▲
24
21.24%
Interactive Brokers GroupIBKR65.56
11
59.088.68 ▼
62
47.11%
pP
J&J Snack FoodsJJSF112.89
31
117.83-0.55 ▼
3
2.08%
Meta PlatformsMETA773.44
10
701.861.41 ▲
0
0.00%
Buy
Intellia TherapeuticsNTLA11.64
2
11.462.93 ▼
31
16.05%
Ralph LaurenRL298.75
11
284.986.25 ▲
67
36.36%
Rockwell AutomationROK351.71
11
343.803.55 ▼
61
40.01%
Sanmina CorpSANM116.04
13
98.587.95 ▲
2
-3.90%
Shopify IncSHOP122.21
10
119.203.02 ▼
67
27.58%
Tesla Motors IncTSLA308.27
10
326.450.11 ▼
5
0.15%
Uber TechnologiesUBER87.75
14
92.01-3.77 ▼
11
3.79%



Tips for using the tables
Hover or tap on an item in the "Action" column to see strategic advice for the stock.
Hover or tap in the "Days" column to see the start date and price for current position.
Hover or tap in the weekly trend ("Tr") column to see the weekly reversal level.

Note: This is a live demo portfolio to show how reversal levels work for different types of stocks. Some big names, some random mid caps and small caps, a mix of different sectors. So it is not a recommendation to invest in any of those companies.

Thursday, July 31, 2025

Charts for July 31, 2025

Daily charts (you can click the charts for larger image):

SPX:


* 303 stocks in bullish mode. Another significant downtick. Red flag. * BullsPower at 44, BearsPower at 16. Bulls keep the upper hand, but Bears are mounting an effort. * Above both Watershed lines = continued bullish. The dW at 6310 is a first line of defense to watch.




* ELC turns down. This indicator has been wobbly at a high level for some time already. That's rarely a good sign. * THRUST turns down and paints a new bearish divergence. Adds another red flag. * The Repellor is at 6208. * This is a "bending but not breaking" situation, with increasing stress showing up in several indicators.




* Rotator turns back down. Both components are in decline. This has been a weak swing, as pointed out before. * The Bands keep rising steadily and trading stays in the upper band. That's one of the few remaining items of strength. Maybe it's enough, and the index will muddle through again, but I wouldn't take too much comfort in it.



* SwX stays yellow - neutral. We keep watching whether it goes on to red or gets back to green. * MoM  turns down, with bearish divergence. * The green trend channels remain important. * The red line with possible wedge is severely tested as we speak. Still hanging on. Next support is just above 6200 if this red line gives way.



* Icebergs algo. * Another vulture appears above this shiny gold on the mountain. * That's another warning sign. Stay safe.

RevL for July 31, 2025

Today's reversal levels for major indexes and stocks in our public demo portfolio.
Join in for exiting profits with our special trading strategies.

Daily reversal levels as of the close on July 30, 2025
NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
S&P 500^SPX6362.89
10
6244.646.85 ▼
65
15.08%
pP
Nasdaq 100^NDX23345.41
10
22759.295.96 ▼
65
20.13%
Russell 2000^RUT2232.40
7
2214.452.18 ▼
63
14.48%
Gold (spot)$XAUUSD3275.52
92
3367.35-0.70 ▼
2
1.19%
US Oil ETFUSO81.04
6
75.502.76 ▲
17
6.38%
20+ Y Tr. Bond ETFTLT86.87
15
85.801.37 ▲
1
0.12%
BitcoinBTC_X117853.30
44
115269.700.81 ▼
35
9.73%

NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
American Airlines GroupAAL11.51
20
12.14-2.71 ▼
4
0.35%
Apple IncAAPL209.05
3
212.611.78 ▼
0
0.00%
Sell
C3.ai IncAI24.22
8
27.01-2.42 ▼
4
8.29%
Align TechnologyALGN203.57
3
193.824.69 ▲
5
0.23%
Amazon.com IncAMZN230.19
7
224.055.05 ▼
56
19.04%
AramarkARMK43.20
11
42.262.16 ▼
60
28.72%
AeroVironment IncAVAV267.80
11
251.542.96 ▼
76
97.49%
Bank of AmericaBAC47.96
10
46.993.61 ▼▼
8
0.88%
dSell
Coeur MiningCDE8.75
11
9.30-0.13 ▼
0
0.00%
Sell
CIENA CorpCIEN92.95
11
83.648.27 ▲
25
16.55%
pP
Core & Main IncCNM64.56
13
62.207.46 ▼
67
26.91%
Coinbase GlobalCOIN377.48
10
364.810.45 ▼
68
90.89%
Devon EnergyDVN33.76
59
32.851.66 ▲
2
-1.23%
First Solar IncFSLR179.13
3
172.453.92 ▼
21
8.55%
GE AerospaceGE273.55
13
259.545.54 ▲
67
40.77%
Chart Industries IncGTLS199.17
3
165.858.01 ▲
23
21.45%
Interactive Brokers GroupIBKR66.22
11
58.628.81 ▲
61
48.59%
pP+
J&J Snack FoodsJJSF115.77
31
118.090.17 ▼
2
-0.42%
Meta PlatformsMETA695.21
10
716.85-0.74 ▼
1
1.82%
Intellia TherapeuticsNTLA12.33
2
11.464.77 ▼
30
22.93%
Ralph LaurenRL303.21
11
283.746.21 ▲
66
38.40%
Rockwell AutomationROK351.19
11
343.454.72 ▼
60
39.80%
Sanmina CorpSANM115.90
13
97.894.83 ▲
1
-4.02%
Shopify IncSHOP123.01
10
118.893.76 ▼
66
28.42%
Tesla Motors IncTSLA319.04
10
327.040.66 ▼
4
-3.34%
Uber TechnologiesUBER87.64
14
92.31-3.33 ▼
10
3.91%



Tips for using the tables
Hover or tap on an item in the "Action" column to see strategic advice for the stock.
Hover or tap in the "Days" column to see the start date and price for current position.
Hover or tap in the weekly trend ("Tr") column to see the weekly reversal level.

Note: This is a live demo portfolio to show how reversal levels work for different types of stocks. Some big names, some random mid caps and small caps, a mix of different sectors. So it is not a recommendation to invest in any of those companies.

Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Charts for July 30, 2025

Daily charts (you can click the charts for larger image):

SPX:


* 335 stocks in bullish mode. Another downtick and falling below the weekly bullish%(343). Red flag. * BullsPower at 45, BearsPower at 13. Bulls keep the upper hand, but Bears are slowly picking up some steam. * Above both Watershed lines = continued bullish. The dW at 6299 is a first line of defense to watch.




* ELC goes up. * THRUST goes up. But is increasingly likely to paint a new bearish divergence because this latest push higher is quite weak. * The Repellor is at 6199.




* Rotator goes up. Both components are rising, but without much power in it. * The Bands keep rising steadily and trading stays in the upper band = bullish. * Painless trading is about to end imo.



* SwX stays yellow - neutral. We keep watching whether it goes on to red or gets back to green. * MoM goes up, but a bearish divergence is likely. * The green trend channels define current price action. * The red line an possible wedge is on watch. On a drop below 6350, which would remove the red line, it would probably go back to 6200 fast.



* Icebergs algo. * Green mountain is at a healthy +4 level. * We have lava + gold on the mountain  appearing again. This is something that normally occurs near peaks (can be shorter or longer term peaks), and is where I prefer to do most of my selling. * The logical opposite of lava + gold on the mountain is found in thick "sea ice" near the bottom of this indicator pane, and that's where I normally try to do some (if not most) of my buying. * Trading does not have to be very complex. We will never catch all peaks and bottoms in the market, but with this method you can put the odds in your favor and catch some of them.

RevL for July 30, 2025

Today's reversal levels for major indexes and stocks in our public demo portfolio.
Join in for exiting profits with our special trading strategies.

Daily reversal levels as of the close on July 29, 2025
NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
S&P 500^SPX6370.87
10
6238.137.15 ▲
64
15.22%
Nasdaq 100^NDX23308.30
10
22725.166.07 ▲
64
19.94%
pP
Russell 2000^RUT2242.96
7
2213.992.90 ▼
62
15.02%
Gold (spot)$XAUUSD3326.61
92
3370.670.45 ▼
1
-0.35%
US Oil ETFUSO79.80
6
74.951.13 ▲
16
4.75%
20+ Y Tr. Bond ETFTLT87.32
15
85.740.49 ▲
0
0.00%
Buy
BitcoinBTC_X117942.11
44
115222.161.15 ▼
34
9.82%

NameCloseTrModeRevL (D)MoM (D)DaysP/L %Action
American Airlines GroupAAL11.42
20
12.18-1.71 ▼
3
1.13%
Apple IncAAPL211.27
3
209.372.69 ▼
20
2.23%
C3.ai IncAI24.48
8
27.17-0.57 ▼
3
7.31%
Align TechnologyALGN205.81
3
193.294.20 ▲
4
1.33%
Amazon.com IncAMZN231.01
7
223.655.40 ▲
55
19.46%
AramarkARMK43.14
11
42.222.81 ▼
59
28.55%
AeroVironment IncAVAV268.39
11
249.813.65 ▼
75
97.93%
Bank of AmericaBAC47.95
10
46.923.76 ▲
7
0.86%
Coeur MiningCDE9.20
11
8.930.84 ▼
55
31.62%
CIENA CorpCIEN91.07
11
82.778.03 ▲
24
14.19%
pP
Core & Main IncCNM65.07
13
62.017.95 ▲
66
27.91%
Coinbase GlobalCOIN371.44
10
364.161.72 ▼
67
87.83%
Devon EnergyDVN34.22
59
32.760.99 ▲
1
0.12%
First Solar IncFSLR181.82
3
171.854.29 ▲
20
10.18%
GE AerospaceGE270.31
13
258.185.39 ▲
66
39.10%
Chart Industries IncGTLS198.80
3
163.105.75 ▲
22
21.22%
Interactive Brokers GroupIBKR65.20
11
58.158.80 ▲
60
46.30%
pP+
J&J Snack FoodsJJSF116.70
31
118.070.42 ▼
1
-1.22%
Meta PlatformsMETA700.00
10
717.73-0.27 ▲
0
0.00%
Sell
Intellia TherapeuticsNTLA12.50
2
11.426.17 ▼
29
24.63%
Ralph LaurenRL300.81
11
282.235.62 ▲
65
37.30%
Rockwell AutomationROK353.90
11
342.865.90 ▼
59
40.88%
Sanmina CorpSANM120.76
13
97.121.24 ▲
0
0.00%
Buy
Shopify IncSHOP124.85
10
118.544.44 ▼
65
30.34%
Tesla Motors IncTSLA321.20
10
327.340.99 ▼
3
-4.04%
Uber TechnologiesUBER87.11
14
92.72-2.84 ▼
9
4.50%



Tips for using the tables
Hover or tap on an item in the "Action" column to see strategic advice for the stock.
Hover or tap in the "Days" column to see the start date and price for current position.
Hover or tap in the weekly trend ("Tr") column to see the weekly reversal level.

Note: This is a live demo portfolio to show how reversal levels work for different types of stocks. Some big names, some random mid caps and small caps, a mix of different sectors. So it is not a recommendation to invest in any of those companies.